Bitcoin double top ‘invalidated’ on fear that CPI could lead to macro slowdown

Bitcoin (BTC) was busy testing $30,000 as new support at the April 11 Wall Street open after hitting new 10-month highs.

BTC/USD 1-Hour Candlestick Chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

$30,000 decimates liquidity

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed that BTC/USD came down from an overnight peak near $30,500.

The pair had spent most of the day jumping off the $30,000 mark after passing it in a short squeeze weeks along the way.

Major concerns from some market participants followed the move, with fears centered on a potential correction to $25,000 or even lower.

However, Takes became more optimistic on longer time frames. The $30,000 push, for example, cemented popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital’s belief that Bitcoin had exited a bearish double top formation from Q1.

“The signs of BTC Double Top distortion were there,” he wrote in a Twitter thread update.

“$BTC has invalidated the Double Top and confirmed a breakout to new yearly highs.”

BTC/USD Annotated Chart. Source: Rekt Capital/Twitter

Rekt Capital went on to specify the conditions required to be met on daily timeframes to continue the bullish momentum.

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Analyzing the composition of the Binance order book on the day, monitoring resource material indicators suggested that the odds for continued upside remained good.

“After push above $30k, BTC liquidity is spread in both directions,” it explained in part of the commentary.

“There are no massive buy/sell walls, in fact the so-called walls shown on FireCharts are quite thin. Bullish momentum is growing, so we could see a push higher.”

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/Twitter

The CPI lurks as a volatility catalyst

The general mood was mixed with fear, thanks to macro catalysts waiting in the wings for the rest of the week.

Related: Bitcoin ‘faces headwinds’ as US money supply shrinks most since 1950s

The US consumer price index (CPI) for March will be released on April 12, with producer price inflation (PPI) following on April 13.

With both events known to induce volatility in risk assets, Material Indicators acknowledged that an “explosive move” could result for Bitcoin this time around.

“Wednesday’s CPI and two PPI reports could trigger a more explosive move. If the numbers are hot, we expect a correction,” it added.

Market commentator Holger Zschaepitz nevertheless flagged the highest levels of shorting the S&P 500 since 2011 ahead of the CPI release.

As Cointelegraph reportedthe correlation in volatility between Bitcoin and stocks has cooled significantly.

Analytics account Tedtalksmacro added that “traders are likely to risk into the event” when it comes to the CPI.

“Risk of a hot print forcing market-wide price reduction,” part of a post read as Bitcoin passed $30,000, noting for BTC/USD that there were “signs of foam up here, perps driving price higher and lots of big spot offers have been lifted.”

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed herein are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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